Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003035 0.003266 0.003518 0.003816 0.004162 0.004556 0.005044
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.002724 0.003038 0.003405 0.003874 0.004471 0.005229 0.006302
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.002465 0.002815 0.003243 0.003822 0.004614 0.005713 0.007477
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002342 0.002732 0.003229 0.003938 0.004982 0.006581 0.009568
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002233 0.002649 0.003198 0.004016 0.005300 0.007464 0.012225
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002095 0.002512 0.003074 0.003939 0.005356 0.007918 0.014378
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001957 0.002363 0.002918 0.003789 0.005261 0.008061 0.015923
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001877 0.002287 0.002857 0.003775 0.005392 0.008692 0.019649
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001736 0.002117 0.002649 0.003507 0.005024 0.008147 0.018735
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001688 0.002075 0.002623 0.003530 0.005196 0.008878 0.024087
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001664 0.002064 0.002643 0.003627 0.005526 0.010142 0.036503
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001626 0.002030 0.002624 0.003656 0.005726 0.011177 0.055615
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001598 0.002013 0.002634 0.003745 0.006091 0.013035 0.141731
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001551 0.001965 0.002592 0.003736 0.006241 0.014339 0.697162
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001495 0.001901 0.002520 0.003664 0.006226 0.015027 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001477 0.001892 0.002537 0.003762 0.006662 0.018270 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001453 0.001875 0.002539 0.003831 0.007043 0.022076 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001408 0.001820 0.002474 0.003758 0.007013 0.023300 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001354 0.001751 0.002381 0.003620 0.006769 0.022671 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001324 0.001719 0.002349 0.003607 0.006896 0.025367 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001257 0.001625 0.002210 0.003359 0.006278 0.020983 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001237 0.001607 0.002198 0.003380 0.006483 0.024202 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001230 0.001607 0.002219 0.003470 0.006928 0.031527 NaN